Australian fixed broadband speeds to average 44.3Mbps by 2020

Cisco released its report Visual Networking Index (VNI) for Australia, showing that if the line speed increase fixed Internet 2.4 times over the next five years, Australia will step behind the rest of the world.

With the forecast report traffic Australia, Kevin Bloch, chief technology officer of Cisco Australia and New Zealand, he referred to the forecast traffic levels Cisco Internet, use of the device, and a breakdown of technology for the five-year period between 2015 and 2020.

According to Cisco, the average speed of a fixed broadband connections including national broadband network (NBN), is expected to leave 18.4Mbps to 44.3Mbps in 2015 in 2020.

For fixed broadband by 2020, 81 percent of the connections will be faster than the speed of 5 Mbps; 53 percent will be faster than 10 Mbps; 17.7 percent will be faster than 25 Mbps; and 16 percent will be faster than 50 Mbps.

Average speed Wi-Fi will also increase by 2.6 times during the five-year period, from 9.1Mbps to 23Mbps, while average mobile connection speeds will double to 16 Mbps in 2020.

Bloch said that Australia was "too far" in speed, but said it is not so much the speed that is used for connectivity.

"The worst thing we can be as a country is complacent. The fact that we either AU $ 41 or AU $ 29 million in infrastructure nationwide broadband [Network], to me that's just the beginning, because only we're shooting faster electrons. What to do with these electrons? This is much more important, "admits the director of technology.

"We ensure that the physical copper optics, HFC [hybrid fiber-coaxial] infrastructure, and this is a good thing for us, but I spend much of my time thinking about what that means?

"The message we try to convey the Australian company is that we are in a race. And this is not a race between two Australian companies, is a race between Australia and the rest of the world. And I really learned to kick your ass here, and we to go all. '

The Australian IP traffic will grow three times between 2015 and 2020 at an annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21 percent, reaching 1.9 exabytes per month and 62 petabytes per day, with an annual supply of 22 May exabytes. IP traffic will average 6Tbps 2020, while "rush hour" or demand peaks reach 32Tbps.

The total Internet traffic will grow from 606 petabytes per month in 2020 to 1.7 exabytes, or 55 petabytes per day, compared to 20 petabytes per day in 2015. Internet traffic busy hours grow at a CAGR of 34 percent, reaching 28Tbps, while Internet traffic will average 5Tbps.

The disparity between peak and average data usage is a concern for telecom providers, Bloch said; Advanced divergence of 34.1 percent and 22.4 percent CAGR for the average CAGR will lead to pressure on the networks.

"This is a big problem for telephone companies: average time served and the time difference of about 1.5 is growing rapidly again half - 34 percent CAGR of 22 percent CAGR This is a big problem, because how you build for peak ..? "he said.

"For telcos, which is only getting worse ... we need more content, although technically we have to use this intelligent content, which is what content distribution networks are."

mobile data traffic will increase fivefold between 2015 and 2020 at a CAGR of 40 percent; It rose 6.3 percent of total Internet traffic in 2015, but will make 12.3 percent in 2020. It will reach 204 petabytes per month in 2020, up to 38 petabytes in 2015.

In 2020, Cisco predicted that the average Internet user to generate 60 GB of Internet traffic per month, an increase of 139 percent, and the average household to go through 149.3GB per month, up 146 percent. means fiber to node / basement / local distribution / Point (FTTx) of households 240.7GB generate Internet traffic per month, against 143.1GB in 2015, while the average mobile connection generates 4,777MB mobile data traffic per month, almost 300 percent of 1,199MB reported in 2015.

There will be a total of 21 million Internet users in Australia in 2020, Cisco, representing 81 percent of the total population, compared with 18 million and 74 percent of the population in 2015.

According to Cisco, Australians are "addicted" to video streaming 2020, video traffic to grow three times in 2020 at a CAGR of 27 percent. 1.4 exabytes per month will be reached in 2020 to 418 petabytes per month in 2015, with a total Internet video traffic to make up 82 percent of all Internet traffic in 2020, compared to 69 percent in 2015.

Netflix is ​​having a "significant impact" on the use of rush hour over the Internet, such as smart phones with capabilities increasingly being released, Bloch said.

Internet traffic game, meanwhile, will jump nine times during the same period, at a CAGR of 55 percent. It will increase from 418 petabytes per month to 1.4 exabytes per month, and will make 7 percent of the public Internet traffic in 2020. In 2015, rose 2 percent of Internet traffic consumers.

Cisco also predicts there will be 237 million networked devices in 2020, against 130.4 million in 2015, with 34 percent of these to be connected mobile. Of all networked devices, 59 percent will be (M2M) -Washer machine; 14 percent will be connected TVs; 11 percent will be smartphones; 8 percent will be PC; and 3 percent will tablets.

M2M modules use an average of 0.645GB per month, while smartphones use 11.8GB per month, tablets have an average of 24.7GB per month PCS use 48.7GB per month, and connected TVs using 4K 4.6GB per month.

This growth of Internet devices objects (IOT) and data usage, Bloch refers to backpacks RFID bees CSIRO to talk about what he calls "the IO Lite" - inexpensive devices long battery life that they need to run the IO.

"I'm on the record to say that telecom costs for connecting to the" things "in 10 years will be zero," he added.

"The money is in your applications and data."

Bloch also said that Australia is "really behind" in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM), being in 13th place worldwide. He said the two keywords to STEM are the quality and scale, with a high quality program that will extend across the country. He also said another letter should be added to the acronym.

"It should not be STEM, should be STEMC" says Bloch.

"C is creativity. Because if you look at the computer and humans, humans are very different today what computers can do.

"This is what we think, how to use computers creative technology are far from that.".

The publication of statistics Australia following the publication of the 11th edition of the Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global IP traffic update scheduled two weeks ago. The general report predicts that nearly half of all Internet-connected devices will be objects (IO) 2020 devices.

M2M connections will increase from 4.9 million in 2015 to 12,200,000,000 in 2020, Cisco said, with 46 percent of all connected devices consist of M2M connections.

"A growing number of M2M applications such as smart metering, video surveillance, health monitoring, transport, packaging and asset tracking, contribute significantly to the growth of devices and connections," Cisco said.

The segment of the e-health will experience the highest growth of M2M, Cisco said, from 144 million in 2015 to 729,000,000 in five years. The consumption of domestic industry has most M2M connections, however, with 5.8 million planned for 2020.

Cisco also expects that by 2020 there will be 1 billion new Internet users; global IP traffic will reach 2.3 zettabytes per year; IP video to make up 82 percent of all IP traffic; DDoS attacks will increase to 17 million; VR traffic will increase 61 times; and video conferencing will grow to 248 million users.